John Richardson is professor emeritus, School of International Service, American University and visiting professor, Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy and Global Asia Institute, National University of Singapore. He pioneered applications of computer modeling in the areas of urban development, water resources, global development, and conflict-development linkages.

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The Challenge: Global-Scale Overshoot and Collapse It was in the early 1970s that the profile of a possible global-scale overshoot and collapse was first highlighted in a publication, The Limits to Growth,1 based on a computer simulation model. “Overshoot” referred to exponentially growing trends in population, resource consumption, and waste …

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